Note: Due to the inherent lag in the reporting of cases, we do not have estimates of infections for the last 14 days. There also may be some spread rooted in tourism, but as an industry, it remains fairly limited. But Prins said that that was inevitable. Rt (as of Nov 25): 1.14 One of the main reasons experts think Florida avoided a catastrophic epidemic in the first place is because its public began staying home before it was ordered to do so. “So you expect a decrease in positivity rates no matter what.” Low rates, then, do not mean the state isn’t experiencing a spike. ##################################################################################################. You can then select the county to view detailed infection estimates. Florida has 1,008,166 cases reported. Nearly 10,000 positive coronavirus cases were reported in Florida Wednesday, and the state reported 97 new deaths due to COVID-19. Experts say many people around the world have now experienced two versions of a surge in COVID-19 cases, and the predictions are that Florida … In addition, they reported 96 more deaths. Join Slate Plus to continue reading, and you’ll get unlimited access to all our work—and support Slate’s independent journalism. Click on a state to view the counties in that state. Friday’s Coronavirus Updates: 10,177 new cases and 120 new deaths reported WINK NEWS Projections model shows vaccine won’t reduce deaths due to COVID-19 If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this. Florida’s reported 7,711 new COVID-19 cases on Monday was down from Sunday’s 8,436, but it’s too soon to say whether the state is on a downward trend. Covid Act Now has real-time COVID data and risk level for your community. And yet, even in the face of these numbers, the state health department has insisted that the growth has more to do with increased testing than it does with actual increased cases. According to experts, there’s almost no way testing can fully account for this spike. “You have to have society function,” DeSantis said Tuesday. “From the beginning of us looking at cases and starting to test, you had high positivity rates because testing was limited,” she said. With COVID-19 cases reaching levels not seen since the summer, Pinellas County leaders are urging businesses and residents to follow the local protocols requiring face coverings at indoor public places and social distancing. Young people who develop COVID usually avoid serious illness and hospitalization: Over 80 percent of deaths from the virus are among those 65 or older. DeSantis has vocally encouraged sports to return, and he attended a NASCAR race on Sunday. ORLANDO, Fla. - Florida has officially reported over one million COVID-19 cases since the start of the pandemic earlier this year. Currently Infected (as of Nov 25): 8.5 million The state’s health department does not publicize statewide hospitalization data, but self-reporting from some hospitals indicates that they’re admitting fewer COVID-19 patients. These projections are not scientific in any other way and should not be used for any planning purposes. “I don’t think, in Florida, most people are using preventative measures to control the spread,” said Ambuj Kumar, a biostatistician and associate professor of internal medicine at the University of South Florida. Ron DeSantis gloated of his state’s superiority over liberal states like New York, and reopening started in May. You can manage your newsletter subscriptions at any time. Total Cases. All rights reserved. For county-level estimates, see the next section. “We’re not rolling back.”. US Daily COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations Hit New Peak Tuesday The U.S. hit a new peak in daily COVID-19 cases Tuesday, with states reporting 222,211 infections, according to an NBC News tally. “People took it as a message that you don’t have to worry about it anymore.”. On Wednesday, Florida had its 15th straight day of more than 1,000 new cases. COVID-19 infections among children under age 18 are rising by hundreds of cases each day in Florida. “I don’t see people wearing masks.” Prins said she had noticed the same trend. Error! A Florida Department of Health report found that Floridians under the age 18 are testing positive at almost twice the rate of residents of the state as a whole. Please try again. Farmworkers are often transported to work together in crowded buses, and immigrants often live together in overcrowded housing or in intergenerational families, exacerbating the spread. Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S. external icon describes its accuracy in short-term predictions and its usefulness as a real-time tool to help guide policy and planning. 05, 2020 PUBLISHED 10:45 AM … “There are so many unknown factors,” Kumar said. Florida will pass one million Covid 19 cases, possibly on Monday. Send me updates about Slate special offers. Kumar did emphasize that it remains notable that the spread has been as limited as it has been, given the state’s elderly population. Florida has reached yet another grim milestone with the novel coronavirus. COVID 19 in the world Tap the below buttons to get the trends and projections. Florida has joined a handful of states where the growth in cases is rapidly increasing, and unlike rural states with relatively small baselines, such as Oklahoma, the numbers in populous Florida are significant and concerning. DeSantis has assured Floridians that there was no need to reverse any of the reopenings. Below, we have infection estimates for all 50 states, DC, and 4 US territories. What is really going on in Florida? Old Updates November 2: Our final October 5 projections estimated 231,000 (221-245k) US deaths by November 1, 2020. Ron DeSantis appears to be absent from the forefront of the state’s response. The range of deaths is between about 3,600 and 11,200. dharris@orlandosentinel.com Explore hospital bed use, need for intensive care beds, and ventilator use due to COVID-19 based on projected deaths SOUTHWEST Fla. – Data per the Florida Department of Health as of Sunday, Dec. 6. Florida reported 3,207 additional coronavirus cases on Thursday -- the largest single-day count in the state since the pandemic, according to the state health department. ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — The state of Florida is closing in on a sobering milestone. But while there has been a continued growth in cases since around June 2, testing has been more erratic. As of November, we estimate the true number of infected individuals in the US to be roughly 2-5x higher than the reported cases (20-50% detection rate). Public health experts are familiar with the phenomenon of caution, The Real Threat of Trump’s Latest Doomed Plea to the Supreme Court, Texas AG Ken Paxton, Under FBI Investigation, Asks SCOTUS to Overturn the Election, The Supreme Court Bats Away the Latest Attempt to Overturn the Election, The Supreme Court’s Conservatives Are Embracing a Brand of Textualism Too Extreme for Antonin Scalia. ; Maggie Koerth, Laura Bronner and Jasmine Mithani explain why it’s so freaking hard to make a good COVID-19 model. A daily email update of the stories you need to read right now. And you'll never see this message again. When we think of the scientists leading COVID-19 research, we might imagine a PPE-clad medical researcher bent over her lab instruments -- focused on making sense of coronavirus at the cellular level, in a petri dish. The forecast included in … Newly Infected (as of Nov 25): 641,000 / day The countries our projections cover encompass 6.4 billion people and account for more than 95% of all global reported COVID-19 deaths. Because not all currently infected individuals are infectious, we recommend dividing the “currently infected” estimate by 2-4 to get a sense of the number of currently infectious individuals. Explore hospital bed use, need for intensive care beds, and ventilator use due to COVID-19 based on projected deaths For more maps, including county-level views, visit the Maps page. And Florida’s large population of migrant farmworkers may in fact be a contributing factor: According to the South Florida Sun-Sentinel, many agricultural communities in Florida have seen a recent spike in cases, and one town in southern Florida, known for its tomato farms, has reported more than 1,000 cases out of a population of just 25,000. Path to Herd Immunity: 2021 Outlook of COVID-19 in the US, Estimating True Infections Revisited: A Simple Nowcasting Model to Estimate Prevalent Cases in the US, Estimating True Infections: A Simple Heuristic to Measure Implied Infection Fatality Rate. But as tragic as these outbreaks are, these communities aren’t large. If you value our work, please disable your ad blocker. The Florida Department of Health is issuing 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) updates every day to keep residents and visitors safe and aware. It’s also hard to keep being cautious as visibly normal activity resumes around them, even as public health experts warn that the disease is still running rampant. By May, it had one-tenth the number of cases that had been predicted under worst-case scenarios. The state surpassed 992,000 cases … Some theme parks have already opened for business, and Walt Disney World plans to reopen in early July. COVID-19 cases in Florida are on the rise again and doctors say there’s a fear right now that if numbers continue to trend upward, we could be heading into another phase of the pandemic. Public health experts are familiar with the phenomenon she is describing: caution fatigue. Slate is published by The Slate Group, a Graham Holdings Company. See our revised November 2020 writeup, Estimating True Infections, for a more detailed look into this subject. ORLANDO, Fla. — As the number of COVID-19 cases spike in Florida, some are asking why Gov. But we will leave them here for your reference. TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WJHG) - The Florida Department of Health has released the latest coronavirus COVID-19 numbers for Tuesday. Space Florida President and CEO Frank DiBello told the Enterprise Florida Board of Directors that Florida has made a “very strong case” for ... final COVID-19 vaccine ... Forecast. It’s hard to pinpoint how much this wave is a response to businesses reopening and how much it’s due to other factors. By joining Slate Plus you support our work and get exclusive content. We present an intuitive COVID-19 model that adds machine learning techniques on top of a classic infectious disease model to make projections for infections and deaths for the US and 70 other countries. See how your community is doing at covidactnow.org. Counties with significant immigrant populations also run into issues with testing because of language barriers or because undocumented immigrants fear the presence of law enforcement at testing centers. They represent only a small number of the growing list of cases. Video above is News to Go - a look at today's top headlines, forecast. We have infections estimates for all 3,000+ US counties (and county equivalents). And other metrics support the case for a true second wave: Florida has also seen a rise in new hospitalizations in recent weeks. People enjoy the water in Miami Beach, Florida, on June 10. Infections / Cases (as of Dec 9): 3.1 (32% detection rate). The countries our projections cover encompass 6.4 billion people and account for more than 95% of all global reported COVID-19 deaths. You’ve run out of free articles. “I’m a little concerned now as I see us open up, there’s less concern for that personal risk,” she said. But there has been day-to-day variation in the rollout—and there hasn’t been much variation in the case numbers. Some people have pointed out that, looking at the big picture, the rates have remained lower in Florida than they were in the worst weeks of the pandemic. Given the commitment to keeping businesses fully open, it doesn’t seem like these trends will reverse soon. Now, it seems that some of that gloating may have been premature. For regular updates and insights, follow Youyang Gu on Twitter: @youyanggu. 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